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سنجش پیشرانهای کلیدی مؤثر بر ارتقاء زیستپذیری در شهر طرقبه با رویکرد آیندهپژوهی | ||
| جغرافیا و آینده پژوهی منطقهای | ||
| مقاله 2، دوره 4، شماره 2 - شماره پیاپی 14، شهریور 1405، صفحه 22-42 اصل مقاله (1.27 M) | ||
| نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.30466/grfs.2025.56496.1149 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| علی طاهبازنیا* 1؛ مسعود داوری نژاد مقدم2؛ نگار حسینیان2 | ||
| 1کارشناسی ارشد، مؤسسه آموزش عالی بینالود، مشهد، مشهد، ایران | ||
| 2استادیار، مؤسسه آموزش عالی بینالود، مشهد، مشهد، ایران | ||
| چکیده | ||
| زیستپذیری بهعنوان مفهومی محوری در برنامهریزی شهری مطرح است و با تمامی جنبههای ذهنی و عینی سکونتگاههای شهری سروکار دارد، بهطوریکه در تمام ابعاد شهری و فرآیندهای برنامهریزی موردتوجه طراحان و برنامهریزان قرارگرفته است. هدف این پژوهش، شناسایی و سنجش پیشرانهای کلیدی مؤثر بر چشمانداز آتی زیستپذیری شهر طرقبه میباشد. روش تحقیق حاضر توصیفی- تحلیلی و کاربردی است و ابزار گردآوری دادهها پرسشنامه محققساخته بوده است. جامعه آماری شامل ۳۰ نفر از متخصصان، مسئولان اجرایی و اساتید دانشگاهی مرتبط با مدیریت و برنامهریزی شهری، شهرسازی، جامعهشناسی و محیطزیست در سطح شهرستان و استان بوده است. برای سنجش و تحلیل اطلاعات از نرمافزارهای آیندهپژوهی شامل MICMAC و Scenario Wizard استفاده گردیده است. یافتهها نشان میدهد که از میان ۲۵ وضعیت پیشبینیشده در محیط نرمافزار Scenario Wizard، ۱۲ وضعیت (۴۸ درصد) در شرایط بحرانی، ۸ وضعیت (۳۲ درصد) در شرایط مطلوب و ۵ وضعیت (۲۰ درصد) در شرایط ایستا قرار دارند که بر این اساس وضعیت بحرانی سهم بیشتری نسبت به وضعیتهای مطلوب و ایستا دارد و احتمال وقوع رخدادهای منفی (بحرانی) بیشتر از رخدادهای مثبت (مطلوب) برآورد شده است. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| زیستپذیری؛ پایداری شهری؛ آیندهپژوهی؛ فضاهای شهری؛ شهر طرقبه | ||
| مراجع | ||
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آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 31 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 19 |
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