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آیندهپژوهی اثر انصاف و پیچیدگی مالیاتی بر رفاه اقتصادی استانهای ایران | ||
جغرافیا و آینده پژوهی منطقهای | ||
دوره 3، شماره 2 - شماره پیاپی 10، شهریور 1404، صفحه 34-51 اصل مقاله (1.19 M) | ||
نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.30466/grfs.2025.55855.1078 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
محمد غفاری فرد* 1؛ محمد یونس رسا2 | ||
1دانشیار دانشکده اقتصاد و مدیریت، دانشگاه بینالمللی اهلبیت (ع)، تهران، ایران | ||
2دانشآموخته کارشناسی ارشد علوم اقتصادی، دانشگاه بینالمللی اهلبیت (ع)، تهران، ایران | ||
چکیده | ||
امروزه مالیات یکی از منابع مهم درآمدی دولتها محسوب میشود. در کشورهای درحالتوسعه ازجمله ایران به دلیل وابسته بودن دولت به درآمدهای نفتی، درآمدهای مالیاتی سهم کمی در تأمین منابع درآمدی دارد. یکی از موانع مهم سر راه دولتها فرار مالیاتی است که تحت تأثیر عوامل مختلف ازجمله پیچیدگی و انصاف مالیاتی و تورم است. تحقیق حاضر به بررسی آیندهپژوهی تأثیر انصاف و پیچیدگی مالیاتی بر رفاه اقتصادی در استانهای ایران طی سالهای 1390 الی 1399 با استفاده از روش حداقل مربعات کاملاً اصلاحشده انجامشده است. نتایج تحقیق نشان میدهد انصاف مالیاتی تأثیر معنیدار و مثبت بر رفاه اقتصادی استانهای ایران دارد. بهنحویکه با یک درصد افزایش در انصاف مالیاتی 0.026 درصد رفاه اقتصادی در آینده افزایش خواهد یافت؛ اما پیچیدگی مالیاتی با رفاه اقتصادی در استانهای ایران رابطه منفی و معنیدار دارد. بهنحویکه با یک درصد افزایش پیچیدگی مالیاتی ۰.۰۲۴- درصد رفاه اقتصادی در آینده کاهش خواهد یافت. همچنین نتایج نشان میدهد تورم رابطه منفی و اندازه دولت و تولید سرانه رابطه مثبت و معنیدار بر رفاه اقتصادی استانهای ایران در آینده دارند. با توجه به نتایج تحقیق برای بهبود وضعیت رفاهی استانهای ایران در آینده پیشنهاد میشود دولت سیاستهای نظیر سادهسازی قوانین مالیاتی، کاهش هزینه جمعآوری مالیاتی، ایجاد نظام مالیاتی جامع و اصلاح نظام مالیاتی را در دستور کار قرار دهد. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
رفاه اقتصادی؛ پیچیدگی مالیاتی؛ انصاف مالیاتی؛ حداقل مربعات معمولی کاملاً اصلاحشده؛ ایران | ||
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